Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Established position in the biopharma segment
Biocon is a leading biopharma company in India and has track record of 40 years. In the biopharma segment, the company has presence primarily in India and semi-regulated economies. In the domestic formulations market, it is a biosimilars-focused specialty products company, mainly in chronic therapy areas. The domestic business has multiple divisions such as metabolics, oncology, nephrology, immunotherapy and comprehensive care. The company has strong brands across its biosimilars and novel biologics portfolio. It is among the leading players in insulin in Asia, with its global capacities making it a leading insulin producer globally. Biocon also is a leading supplier of complex, small molecule active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) across the cardiovascular, anti-obesity and immuno-suppressant therapeutic areas.
Strong and diversified revenue streams
Revenue is diversified primarily across generics (27% of revenue in the first half of fiscal 2023), biosimilars (44%) and research services (32%), and intersegment revenue accounts for negative 3%.
The generics segment reported 18% revenue growth in the first half of fiscal 2023, on low base of fiscal 2022 owing to the impact of Covid-19, driven by ramp up in API sales and healthy performance of recently launched formulations. Biocon has consolidated its position in this segment through its portfolio of differentiated APIs, including fermentation based, synthetic, high potent and peptides as well as vertically integrated complex formulations and a moderate growth is expected in this segment over medium term. Biocon’s long-term growth potential will be led by its biosimilar and novel biologics segments in semi-regulated and regulated markets. While these segments continue to require large investment for R&D and capital expenditure (capex), the company is supported by steady cash flow from all its established business segments – generics, biosimilars and research services.
BBL is a leader in biosimilars with several products in the regulated and semi-regulated markets. As on September 30, 2022, the company had five approved biosimilar products in Europe (excluding two products in-licenced by Viatris) and three in the US (excluding one product in-licenced by Viatris) in partnership with Viatris Inc. Semglee® (biosimilar insulin glargine) was launched in the US in August 2020 and was Biocon’s third launch in that market after Fulphila® (biosimilar pegfilgrastin) and Ogivri® (biosimilar trastuzumab). Biocon received the European Commission’s approval for Abevmy® (biosimilar bevacizumab) and Kixelle® (biosimilar insulin aspart) in fiscal 2021. The company has multiple products in pipeline and will continue to launch these products in regulated and semi-regulated markets. Also, with acquisition of the biosimilar business of Viatris, BBL will now be well-placed to commercialise these upcoming products by itself and realise the entire gains.
Syngene is a leading contract research and manufacturing services (CRAMS) organisation in India. It offers integrated services across drug discovery and development value chain and provides research services in medicinal chemistry and biology to innovator pharmaceutical companies. Syngene enhances revenue diversity with sustained healthy growth and profitability. In fiscal 2022, Syngene accounted for one-third of the consolidated revenue and operating profit of Biocon. With commercialisation of the ongoing capex and ramp-up of operations, Syngene is expected to sustain its operating performance and revenue contribution over the medium term.
Healthy pipeline of biosimilar products
Biocon has strong R&D capability and has several biosimilars and novel biologic products in development in the diabetes, oncology and autoimmune therapeutic segments. In partnership with Viatris Inc, Biocon’s biosimilar assets received approvals from various regulators and were launched in regulated and semi-regulated markets. The scaling up of revenue and market share of key biosimilar assets (trastuzumab, pegfilgrastin and insulin glargine) in the US and Europe and timely launches and contracting of the products in pipeline will be key monitorables.
Healthy financial risk profile, moderation in debt metrics seen with large debt addition
Adjusted gearing was healthy at ~0.6 time as on March 31, 2022, and interest coverage and net cash accrual to total debt ratios were healthy at 29.2 times and 0.3 time, respectively, in fiscal 2022. The company raised Rs 1220 crore through sale of 5.4% stake in Syngene in September 2022 resulting in healthy cash and liquid investments of over Rs 4000 crore as on September 30, 2022, which will be utilised to partly fund the equity portion of the ongoing acquisition. Additionally, Biocon, BBL and Syngene plan large annual capex of USD 80-100 million each over the medium term. Biocon plans capex for operationalising its immunosuppressants and API facilities; BBL will undertake capex for commercialising a monoclonal antibodies facility and towards R&D for building a product pipeline; while Syngene will increase capacity of its research, biologics and API manufacturing facilities.
Upon completion of the acquisition of biosimilar business of Viatris, the debt protection metrics will moderate due to sizable debt addition of USD 1.2 billion at BBL and USD 420 million at Biocon The ratio of net debt/EBITDA is expected to improve from existing levels in fiscal 2024, as per CRISIL Ratings. However, debt metrics may show improvement given various deleveraging plans of the company including an IPO at BBL over the next 18 months.
Weakness:
Uncertainty regarding payoffs in the R&D-driven model in biosimilars and novel biologic segments, especially for regulated markets
The company will continue to spend extensively on R&D for developing new molecules and biosimilars, particularly for the US and Europe. It remains exposed to long gestation period and uncertainty regarding timing and extent of returns on investments on new molecules given the nature of the drug discovery model. Gross R&D and net R&D (net of capitalisation) were 16% and 14%, respectively, of operating revenue, excluding Syngene, for first half of fiscal 2023 (13% and 11%, respectively, in fiscal 2022). The absolute R&D expenditure will increase over the medium term, driven by expenses on clinical trials and R&D to build a robust product pipeline. The uncertainty regarding revenue visibility and return on the R&D expense exposes the company to investment risk. However, it has achieved critical milestones in previous fiscals with approvals for biosimilars and launch in regulated and semi-regulated markets in partnership with Viatris Inc, leading to strong revenue growth. The extent of ramp up, particularly in the regulated markets, will be a key monitorable.
Susceptibility to regulatory uncertainties and intense competition
Regulatory risks are manifested in increasing scrutiny and inspections by regulatory authorities, including the US FDA (United States Food and Drug Administration), European Medical Agency, and those in Asian and Latin American markets.
The company faces intense competition in the regulated markets, which is characterised by aggressive defence tactics by innovator companies through introduction of authorised generics and the presence of several cost-competitive Indian players. In the branded formulations segment, additions to lists under Drug Price Control Order impact product pricing and profitability.